BASE
Paper · pUSDCWill Base reach 5,000 TPS by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC?
A native Hunch YES/NO market on Base's throughput. Resolves YES the instant Base's measured transactions-per-second reaches 5,000 at any settlement tick on or before December 31, 2026 — otherwise NO at the deadline. TPS is read directly from Base mainnet blocks over JSON-RPC (the chain itself, no API key or third-party aggregator), averaged over a trailing ~5-minute window so a single bursty minute can't spoof the line. At creation Base sustains a few hundred TPS — well over 10× below the 5,000 target.
Resolves by
Dec 31, 23:59 UTC
Outcomes
2
Pool (pUSDC)
0
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2380:54:06
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YES
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How this resolves