CTO
Paper · pUSDCWhen will $CTO flip VIDA Global's stock-market cap ($29.17M)?
A native multi-outcome Hunch market: pick the day window in which $CTO (Vida Global CTO, on Solana) first out-caps the company it is named after. The line is VIDA Global Inc.'s stock-market capitalisation at its last close before this market opened, Friday September 4, 2026, on NYSE American (VIDA is not a Nasdaq listing). It is built from the SEC filing rather than a quote page: the cover of VIDA's 10-Q filed 2026-08-14 states 9,156,530 Class A + 5,426,402 Class B = 14,582,932 shares outstanding, which at the $2.00 Friday close is $29,165,864. Quote sites disagree on the share count — stockanalysis.com matches the filing ($29.17M), Yahoo Finance shows ~$40.0M off a ~20.0M share count no SEC filing supports — and Hunch settles on the filed number. That line is FIXED for the life of the market: the company's cap moves with the tape, but Hunch will not settle a money path off a micro-cap equity feed, so the number is frozen and reproducible from EDGAR alone. $CTO is ~$8.8M today — about 30% of the way, a ~3.3x move — read live from its most-liquid DexScreener pair and matched by mint address (8K5X85PAJHAAVSvYaAzgVPPAPsqqHmvx16ZyBiscYF8L), so the many impostor “CTO” tickers on Solana cannot cross-resolve it. Resolves to the window containing the first CONFIRMED $29.17M crossing (a second reading ≥30 min later guards against a flash wick) — early-locking the instant it happens — or to “It doesn't happen” if $CTO hasn't crossed by September 20, 2026. Winners split the entire pool pro-rata (parimutuel).
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Sep 21, 00:00 UTC