When will Solana flip NASDAQ in trades?

A native multi-outcome Hunch market on the race flipthe.market made famous: pick the window in which Solana first out-trades NASDAQ over a week. Each day compares Solana's spot-DEX trades over the last 7 days with NASDAQ's trades over its last 5 sessions, using the daily figures flipthe.market publishes (Blockworks data for both sides). Solana stood at 52.8% of NASDAQ for the week to September 20 — 165.3M trades against 312.9M. Resolves to the window containing the first day that share reaches 100%. A day counts only once it is complete, and only on final NASDAQ figures that agree within 2% with the “Total Trades” Nasdaq publishes in its own Daily Market Summary; holiday weeks are still compared against five sessions; and the flip must be confirmed by a second reading ≥30 min later — so a partial or broken count can never fake one. It early-locks the moment the flip is confirmed; if Solana hasn't flipped NASDAQ by March 31, 2027, “Not by March 31, 2027” wins. Winners split the entire pool pro-rata (parimutuel).